The main calculation is limited to HMS Queen Elizabeth, but the deployment butterflies could spread much further. If fewer capital ships go to Gallipoli, refit schedules and the distribution of battlecruisers change across the fleet. HMAS Australia might be available in a different theatre, while HMS Defence could be released to reinforce Cradock before Coronel. That reinforcement could alter the battle and remove the later need to send the same British battlecruiser force south. A disciplined counterfactual must recognise linked deployments even when it deliberately holds most of them constant.
Notable Point · 1:05:30-1:06:41
Gallipoli butterflies could redeploy capital ships
Changing the Mediterranean campaign could alter refits and deployments for HMAS Australia, HMS Defence, and the battlecruisers sent after Spee, reaching as far as Coronel.