What would a four-carrier Royal Navy attack on Taranto look like?
Short answerA roughly ninety-aircraft Swordfish strike could cripple most of the Italian battlefleet and reduce the Mediterranean naval threat for much of the war.
NotesThe scenario combines Illustrious, Eagle, and two additional large carriers for a strike roughly four times the historical size. Even allowing for losses and unserviceable aircraft, close to ninety Swordfish could attack Taranto. Applying the historical hit rate across that force makes it difficult for most Italian capital ships to escape damage. Repairs might extend into 1943, relieving pressure on Malta, convoys, and British fleet deployments throughout the Mediterranean.