What changes if Japanese aircraft fail to find Force Z and it continues operating?
Short answerThe counterfactual builds toward a stronger British, American and Australian force, with the outcome against Japanese carriers depending heavily on timing and night operations.
NotesA surviving Force Z could become the nucleus of an Eastern Fleet reinforced by a carrier and regional Allied ships. Saratoga is included among the possible American contributions. Japanese rearming and recovery after Pearl Harbor provide a possible interval for the Allies to assemble. The projected battle remains conditional: a daylight fight favours the Japanese in this assessment, while a British night strike offers the Allies a different opportunity.