The computer simulations reported here produce Allied victories with limited losses when the British night strike takes place. They also produce Allied victories when the Americans launch the first dawn strike. When the Japanese find the Allied fleets first, the Allies suffer losses, although Japan still loses forces that create longer-term problems. These are results from modified simulations used for this scenario, with the sequence of detection and attack changing the outcome.
Notable Point · 1:12:50-1:13:57
How first contact changes the carrier war-game results
The reported simulations favor Allied night or dawn first strikes, while Japanese first contact produces Allied losses.