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Fleet planning starts with risks, missions, and deliberate slack

The closing method moves from national risks and threats to operational demand, then scales the fleet for maintenance, emergencies, and crisis surge.

Notes

The planning exercise begins with a nation's risks, threats, and role before identifying ships. Those factors define the capabilities and operational presence to provide. A tighter two-in-five cycle or a more conservative rule of three then translates deployed demand into total hulls. The recommendation is to include spare capacity for emergencies, crises, and things going wrong, with the amount left to the planner's judgment.