How would the Royal Navy fare in a peer-on-peer version of the Falklands War without nuclear weapons?
Short answerThe result depends on the opponent, but British submarines and expeditionary logistics would be central to making the campaign viable.
NotesThe outcome depends on which peer replaces Argentina because different navies bring different strengths and weaknesses. Britain might leave submarines to sanitize the area longer before exposing the task force. A French opponent, for example, would present serious combat power but a different long-range support problem. Britain's traditional advantage in lift and expeditionary logistics could be decisive against a peer with capable combat ships but weaker ability to sustain distant operations.