Falklands deterrence and the danger of mixed signals

Argentina read British messages, the proposed loss of the amphibious ships Fearless and Intrepid, and doubts about the small carriers as evidence that Britain lacked both interest and capacity. British political ambiguity reinforced that material signal and made an attack appear less risky. Britain ultimately responded, but the episode became far costlier than a clearer deterrent posture might have been. Deterrence depends on actual means and unmistakable intent.