What changes if the United States builds 50 to 60 percent of its proposed post-1880 naval program?
Short answerIt intensifies the global naval arms race, complicates German planning, and encourages earlier French, British, and Spanish construction.
NotesA larger American program would add a competitor to the fleets already expanding in Germany, France, Italy, Japan, and Britain. Germany's risk strategy becomes harder because another growing fleet must be considered, while France and Britain face incentives to order additional ships. The British advantage is partly industrial: adding two ships to an eight-ship class spreads design and initial production costs across a larger order. Spain may invest earlier before the Spanish-American War, although the discussion still expects an American victory.