Notable Point · 0:40-2:23

Electoral short-termism can hollow out imperial strategy

Singapore introduces the tension between electoral horizons and defence projects that require years of sustained preparation.

Notes

Singapore frames a recurring problem in democratic strategy: elected leaders must protect their ability to win the next election while defence infrastructure may require decades of preparation. Some politicians may sincerely believe they cannot implement any policy if they lose office, while others protect power and prominence more narrowly. Either motive encourages short horizons when military projects demand sustained funding. The Sydney counterfactual therefore begins with the political incentives that helped leave Britain's Far East arrangements incomplete, as well as the geography.