Q&A · 2:48:14-2:50:18

Would Dutch battlecruisers invite a British attack?

A Dutch battlecruiser counterfactual produces competing expectations about British seizure and the possibility of an operational fleet escaping a German invasion.

Question

Would owning battlecruisers make the Netherlands more or less likely to be attacked during the First World War?

Short answer

The panel disagrees: Britain might act to prevent German capture, or working Dutch ships could escape an invasion and join the Royal Navy. Ships stationed in the East Indies would change little about the immediate European risk.

Notes

Deployment to the Dutch East Indies is expected to make little difference to the Netherlands' immediate exposure in Europe. The panel disagrees over the danger posed by ships remaining in Dutch home waters. One concern is that the Royal Navy might attack or seize them to prevent Germany from acquiring them. The competing view assumes the battlecruisers are fully operational and able to leave as soon as an invasion begins. In that case they could join Britain, together with supporting Dutch destroyers, and strengthen the British battlecruiser force.