Q&A · 4:50:40-4:51:30

A delayed war changes the KMT-CCP balance

It could give the Kuomintang more Allied standing and recovery time, though Communist intelligence successes keep the result uncertain.

Question

Could reduced Soviet involvement and a different Far Eastern war leave the Kuomintang in power?

Short answer

It could give the Kuomintang more Allied standing and recovery time, though Communist intelligence successes keep the result uncertain.

Notes

A broad Allied war against Japan could bring the Kuomintang into coalition planning and improve its access to support. More time to recover before renewed civil war could strengthen its position. The answer also points to Communist intelligence penetration reaching the Kuomintang's intelligence leadership. That vulnerability prevents a confident prediction that a changed international setting guarantees a Kuomintang victory.