The Ukraine analogy for persistent costs after a Taiwan conflict

Is Ukraine a useful analogy for how China might weigh the aftermath of a Taiwan conflict?

The analogy is accepted as an illustration of temporary versus persistent costs, with the qualification that higher costs may still fail to deter action.

A guest contrasts an expectation of conditions returning to normal after Crimea with continuing disruption after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The comparison is offered as a way to consider expectations before a Taiwan conflict. A lasting consequence adds to the anticipated cost. The reply explicitly allows that a government might still act despite that cost.