Notable Point · 3:04:53-3:05:27

Counterfactuals require timelines, not top trumps

A methodological aside explains why credible alternate history must preserve dates, readiness, logistics, and political reactions rather than compare finished weapon statistics in isolation.

Notes

The operational scenarios rest on a consistent counterfactual method. Ships, aircraft, leaders, bases, and alliances must remain on the dates when they actually become available. Each reaction changes the next decision, so industrial capacity, logistics, and political incentives have to be followed through the timeline rather than assumed away. Simulations can test parts of the problem, but the reading needed to define their conditions remains more important than a simple numerical duel.