Notable Point ยท 6:01-9:16

Using counterfactuals to test historical consequences

The scenario is framed as a bounded way to test the consequences of decisions rather than an unlimited rewrite of the war.

Notes

Counterfactual history can test consequences when it starts from researched plans and follows plausible outcomes. This scenario asks what follows if the Anglo-French strategic assumption survives the crisis of 1940. It compares a fleet evacuation with continued French national resistance and stops at the end of 1941. That boundary keeps the exercise focused on near-term force allocation and political choices without claiming that the rest of the war would unfold with certainty.