Q&A · 1:12:29-1:20:32

A communist France in 1910 faces intervention and colonial competition

A German invasion is expected, but the form of communism, prospects for a coalition, and redistribution of colonial influence remain contested.

Question

What if France suffered a complete communist revolution after an economic collapse in 1910?

Short answer

Germany would probably intervene, while a wider coalition and colonial seizures depend on neighbouring powers' interests and the revolutionary government's ambitions.

Notes

A German invasion is the immediate prediction, but there is disagreement over whether Britain and other monarchies would form a formal coalition. One view expects a return to intervention against revolutionary France, with Britain, Germany, Italy, Spain, and possibly Russia acting together. Another objection is that exporting revolution depends on the form of communism adopted, so a Paris Commune successor need not behave like a Soviet-style state. Memories of the revolutionary and Napoleonic wars could nevertheless shape neighbouring governments' reactions. Anti-communist French groups might flee overseas, while Britain sought Corsica and other powers competed for colonial possessions. Such an intervention could prevent the familiar route to the First World War, although neither the coalition nor its territorial settlement is agreed.