Constitution has the weight, but Cochrane makes the result uncertain

Who wins if Thomas Cochrane commands a frigate against USS Constitution in the War of 1812?

Constitution should win on weight of ship, but Cochrane's ability to create unusual tactical opportunities makes the outcome uncertain.

On paper, Constitution is the heavier ship and should defeat the British frigate. Material comparison is not the whole answer, however. Cochrane repeatedly used initiative and unconventional methods to overturn apparently unfavorable situations. The exchange is a compact reminder that ship characteristics establish probabilities, while commanders and the circumstances of contact determine the actual fight.