Q&A · 49:40-49:56

How expectations can turn a friendly submarine into a U-boat

A Coastal Command crew could misidentify a British submarine because its briefing led it to expect that only an enemy submarine would be in the area.

Question

Why might a Coastal Command B-24 crew ignore signs that a submarine was not a U-boat?

Short answer

Because the crew believed no British submarine should be in the area, so its operating picture made an enemy identification seem more likely.

Notes

The answer reduces the incident to a classic fog-of-war problem. The aircrew did not believe a British submarine should be operating in that location. Once a submarine was sighted, the prior assumption made a U-boat identification appear reasonable despite contrary signs. The exchange shows how an incorrect operating picture can outweigh visual clues during a fast contact.