Q&A · 1:13:11-1:14:10

A 2020 view of China-US strategic inexperience

The 2020 discussion frames China-US tension as a problem of strategic habits and political incentives on both sides.

Question

How were rising tensions between China and the United States assessed in 2020?

Short answer

He describes China as an inexperienced power stretching its wings and the United States as led by recent presidents increasingly focused on domestic politics rather than nuanced foreign policy.

Notes

In this 2020 discussion, responsibility does not rest with a single American administration. A succession of presidents is described as increasingly focused on domestic politics and less comfortable with the nuanced foreign-policy management that great-power tension requires. China is also portrayed as trying to act like a larger power without the experience or habits needed to manage crises responsibly.