Q&A ยท 1:25:23-1:26:26

The China-Solomon Islands agreement as an opening move

The agreement is framed as an early move in a longer strategic contest with consequences for Australia and the islands themselves.

Question

How will the China-Solomon Islands agreement affect Australia's response to a Taiwan crisis?

Short answer

It opens a longer strategic contest and could make the Solomon Islands an exposed target in any wider maritime war.

Notes

Australia and its partners were slow to recognize the strategic contest developing around the agreement. It could affect an Australian response to a Taiwan crisis, though the precise consequences would depend on later political and military decisions. The Solomon Islands could also become occupied or contested if a wider war turned China's maritime partners into exposed outposts. The comparison with Germany's overseas partners in the First World War stresses the vulnerability of distant allies once their supporting navy is contained.