Bailey's and related Channel forces may be overwhelmed, but they buy time for the Grand Fleet to trap the High Seas Fleet between the Channel and home. Geography drives the battle: close ranges, little sea room, German troop convoys and supply ships, daylight fighting, and damaged ships beaching on hostile shores. British ships would have friendly Channel ports and beaches available, while damaged German ships driven onto French or British shores would become total losses. The likely outcome in this scenario is a catastrophic victory for Britain and France, followed by blockade pressure, Baltic operations, and a short war bought at enormous naval cost.
Notable Point · 54:10-59:44
A Channel battle of annihilation
If Britain fights, the scenario becomes a close-range Channel battle that could destroy the High Seas Fleet, wreck much of the Royal Navy, and end the war quickly.