Q&A ยท 2:40:33-2:41:12

China's casualty tolerance and the purpose of a war

A challenge about the one-child policy leads to a distinction between public support for border clashes and support for a Taiwan campaign.

Question

Does the legacy of the one-child policy make China particularly sensitive to military casualties?

Short answer

The demographic concern is accepted. The proposed qualification is that public support and casualty tolerance would differ between the India-China border conflict and a war framed around Taiwan.

Notes

The death of an only child can leave parents without their expected source of support, giving military casualties a wider family cost. That concern is accepted as part of the one-child policy's demographic and social legacy. The political purpose of a conflict also affects how losses are received in this assessment. Border fighting with India is characterised as a conflict requiring public justification. A Taiwan campaign is expected to command a different level of public support. That prediction does not establish how families would actually respond to losses in such a war.