A peaceful Russia after Putin is considered possible but unlikely, rather than an automatic consequence of his departure. Another scenario resembles Russia after the Russo-Japanese War: damaged, fearful, and rapidly rearming. In that scenario, insecurity would deepen suspicion of the outside world. Internal fighting is a further possibility, with destabilising effects beyond Russia's borders. The discussion considers alternative scenarios without establishing which would occur.
Notable Point · 3:41:19-3:42:05
Russia after Putin: rearmament or internal conflict
A change of Russian leadership could leave European security problems unresolved, through rearmament or internal conflict.