Q&A · 2:38:46-2:43:56

Why the sabotage counterfactual selects British ASDIC

An Axis-sabotage counterfactual identifies British ASDIC as a more concentrated point of failure than radar.

Question

If forced to sabotage one British or Allied program after 1930, which project would most help the Axis?

Short answer

Sabotage British sonar development; unlike the many parallel radar programs, ASDIC was a concentrated capability whose loss would seriously weaken convoy escorts.

Notes

Radar is rejected as the sabotage target because many services and countries pursued parallel programmes. British sonar, or ASDIC, was a narrower programme whose disruption would directly weaken convoy protection and attacks on submerged submarines. Sabotage would not guarantee an Axis victory because Allied industrial and logistical advantages still favored a long war. It would give U-boats a larger operational edge and make surface escorts much less effective against them. Timing matters because sonar development was already progressing through the 1920s and 1930s.