Q&A · 3:23:34-3:33:15

Intercepting the Norway invasion force could change the war

An early Home Fleet interception of the German forces bound for Trondheim and Narvik could have unusually large strategic consequences.

Question

Which Second World War naval battle, if reversed, would have the largest effect on the war?

Short answer

An early Home Fleet interception of the German forces bound for Trondheim and Narvik could preserve Norwegian resistance, cripple the Kriegsmarine, and redirect strategic resources away from Germany.

Notes

An early Home Fleet interception of Scharnhorst, Gneisenau, Admiral Hipper, and the destroyers carrying troops toward Trondheim and Narvik could disrupt the German invasion of Norway. The destroyer count is recalled uncertainly as fourteen or sixteen. In this counterfactual, destroying the northern force before it dispersed would warn Norway in time to mobilize and preserve access to central and northern weapon stores. British assistance could then support Norwegian forces moving south. The discussion raises the objection that Germany might still capture Oslo and much of southern Norway, then considers how submarines, mines, and attacks on other landing groups could restrict that foothold. Severe capital-ship and troop losses might also cause Germany to cancel the remaining landings. The result depends on interception timing and the responses of both governments, rather than following automatically from a British victory.