If the German invasion failed, Norway might adopt heavily armed neutrality or enter the war against the country attempting to invade it. Either outcome could change access to Norwegian resources and trade routes. The counterfactual sends heavy water, iron ore, and fish oil toward Britain and its empire instead of Germany. Britain could also buy as much Swedish iron ore as possible to reduce the amount left for German customers. This extends the consequences of a naval interception into industrial supply and economic warfare.
Notable Point · 3:30:49-3:31:38
An unconquered Norway could redirect strategic materials
The Norway counterfactual links control of the coast to resource exports and British purchases that could deny Germany Swedish iron ore.