Notable Point · 1:42:35-1:44:47

Missile expenditure needs an account of the threats and damage prevented

The same expenditure can indicate weak interception, heavy attack, or a missing short-range layer; weapon prices alone cannot settle the explanation.

Notes

A large number of interceptor launches does not by itself reveal whether a defensive missile worked well. Several missiles might have been needed against a difficult ballistic target, or a long-range interceptor might have been the only weapon available against a much cheaper drone. The discussion explicitly says the public lacks the detailed engagement data needed to distinguish those explanations. Poor interception performance would imply a different remedy from an effective missile being used because a shorter-range defensive layer was missing. The cost comparison uses the example of a $4 million interceptor against a $20,000 drone that might cause hundreds of millions of dollars of damage to an oil refinery. The damage prevented therefore belongs in the calculation alongside the two weapons' prices.