What changes if Sir Edward Grey refuses to entertain the Russian foreign minister's request for naval talks in 1914?
Short answerProbably little happens operationally, but the refusal signals that Britain does not want to pursue that form of naval coordination, making further talks pointless without the leading naval power involved.
NotesThe proposed talks were unlikely to transform events on their own. Their value depended on British participation because Britain was the leading naval power in 1914. Grey's refusal would narrow the diplomatic agenda and tell Russia which forms of military coordination London would not explore. Without Britain, the talks would have little reason to proceed.