What if France collapsed into smaller states after the Franco-Prussian War, as the Soviet Union did much later?
Short answerEurope would face a major power vacuum: culturally distinct French regions might break away, Italy could absorb nearby territories, and Britain could exploit the colonial dislocation.
NotesThe scenario places a Soviet-style breakup of France in 1872, after the Franco-Prussian War. Clarke expects Britain to take desirable parts of the French colonial empire. Other participants interpret the breakup through culturally distinct regions, naming Brittany and a southern region whose spoken name is unclear. Savoy and Corsica are considered possible Italian gains or separate Italian states. The Basque suggestion prompts a disagreement about identity and population on the French side of the Pyrenees. These are proposed consequences of the scenario, rather than a reconstruction of events that occurred.