Q&A · 3:20:30-3:23:20

If battleship escalation began in the 1890s

Earlier large battleships would reward industrial capacity and could raise the cost of German naval competition before the First World War.

Question

What if battleship size and armament escalated sooner, beginning in the 1890s?

Short answer

Earlier escalation would favor industrial powers and might make the German naval race too expensive, with major effects on pre-war diplomacy.

Notes

Infrastructure is the dividing line: nations that could build larger ships, guns, and yards sooner would gain a compounding advantage. Britain might use a much earlier all-big-gun programme to make the German naval challenge politically and financially unattractive. Reducing the German naval threat would in turn change Britain's need to align closely with France and Russia.