Q&A ยท 3:05:10-3:05:34

From M45 to M51 in a British deterrent

Choosing France's M45 would make M51 the natural later upgrade, although a subsequent switch to Trident D5 would remain possible.

Question

If Britain selected France's M45 instead of Trident, how realistic would an upgrade to M51 be by the 2020s?

Short answer

M51 would be the obvious French-path upgrade, though Britain might instead switch to Trident D5.

Notes

Selecting M45 would establish a French missile procurement path for the British deterrent. M51 would then be the obvious successor by the 2020s. A subsequent move to the American Trident D5 is also left open, so the initial choice does not fix every later decision. No cost estimate or submarine redesign is offered.