Could sending Blücher rather than Goeben to the Mediterranean have kept the Ottoman Empire out of the First World War?
Short answerPossibly: the British cruiser squadron was more likely to stop Blücher, preventing the ship transfer that helped bring the Ottomans into the war.
NotesBlücher would have been a more manageable opponent for the British First Cruiser Squadron than Goeben. If the German ship failed to reach Constantinople, the diplomatic path to Ottoman intervention could change dramatically. Germany would probably still lose the war, but the timetable and the Mediterranean campaign could look very different. Cruiser assignment could therefore have strategic effects far beyond a ship-to-ship engagement.