Why AUKUS is more durable than one election

Could a change of government cancel AUKUS?

Cancellation is possible in politics but unlikely in practice because AUKUS has deep bipartisan, industrial, and technical roots, with Australia more exposed than Britain to any US withdrawal.

The partnership's groundwork spans more than one US administration, and nuclear-technology sharing cannot be improvised in a few months. The United States also gains shipyard investment and jobs, while Britain continues building its own submarine design even if American participation changes. Australia bears the greatest risk from a US withdrawal because it depends most directly on the agreed acquisition path. Even then, a stronger turn toward the British design would remain possible rather than ending the entire enterprise.