How the February Revolution might fail

The scenario assumes that regular food, ammunition, and pay keep a larger part of the army loyal when the February uprising begins. A reliable military response could make the revolution extremely dangerous for its organizers because several social and political groups opposed it. The later endurance of White forces shows that anti-Bolshevik military capacity did not simply vanish. The long movement of forces from the Far East toward Moscow illustrates the scale of organization that remained possible. Supply and loyalty could defeat the uprising, but they would leave the same weak court leadership in charge afterward.