Q&A ยท 8:09:01-8:09:16

An independence option in the Cameroons referendum

Adding independence to the Cameroons referendum is expected here to draw support away from the two merger options.

Question

What if independence had been a third option in the Ambazonia referendum?

Short answer

Independence is expected to be preferred to merger, with the comparison to Nigeria stated more cautiously.

Notes

In this counterfactual, independence is judged preferable to merger with Cameroon. The response also suggests reluctance to join Nigeria, although that part of the judgment is more qualified.