Notable Point · 19:53-20:46

ABDA without an American war

Kido Butai can cover the offensives and hunt Force Z, while ABDA cooperation becomes politically fragile because Japan has not attacked the United States.

Notes

Japan can use Kido Butai for force protection and to hunt Force Z because the carrier force remains intact. ABDA Command had been discussed before the Pacific war, but American participation rested on structures that assumed a common enemy and shared belligerency. If Japan leaves American territory alone, US naval forces cannot simply join British and Dutch combat operations. Washington also lacks a large local force with which to intervene independently. American entry would require political argument over initiating a war rather than responding to a direct attack, leaving the early Allied coalition weaker.