Q&A ยท 52:43-53:10

How a divided Russia could expose Siberia

A divided Russia could leave sparsely populated, lightly industrialised Siberia open to Japanese expansion.

Question

What might happen if Russia divided into two states after the Russian Revolution?

Short answer

Japan would probably have a strong chance of taking Siberian territory because the region lacked the manpower and industry to resist alone.

Notes

A divided post-revolutionary Russia would give Japan a strong opportunity to expand into Siberia. The region's distance and climate were formidable, but it lacked the manpower and industrial base needed to resist alone. A successor state would struggle to concentrate resources across such a vast territory. Geography would slow an invasion without supplying the missing military capacity.